Agustin Lebron - Trading, Crypto, and Adverse Selection


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By Dwarkesh Patel. Discovered by Player FM and our community — copyright is owned by the publisher, not Player FM, and audio is streamed directly from their servers. Hit the Subscribe button to track updates in Player FM, or paste the feed URL into other podcast apps.

Agustin Lebron began his career as a trader and researcher at Jane Street Capital, one of the largest market-making firms in the world. He currently runs the consulting firm Essilen Research, where he is dedicated to helping clients integrate modern decision-making approaches in their business.

We discuss how AI will change finance, why adverse selection makes trading and hiring so difficult, & what the future of crypto holds.

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Episode website + Transcript here.Buy The Laws of Trading.

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(00:00) - Introduction

(04:18) - What happens in adverse selection?

(09:22) - Why is having domain expertise in trading not important?

(15:09) - How do you deal when you're on the other side of the adverse selection?

(21:16) - Why you should invest in training your people?

(25:37) - Is finance too big at 9% of GDP?

(31:06) - Trading is very labor intensive

(36:16) - Overlap of rationality community and trading

(48:00) - The age of startup founders

(50:43) - The role of market makers in crypto

(57:31) - Three books that you recommend

(58:47) - Life is long, not short

(1:03:01) - Short history of Lunar Society

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