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David Eil talks with Carissa Byrne Hessick about her book, "Punishment Without Trial: Why Plea Bargaining Is a Bad Deal." *** Probable Causation is part of Doleac Initiatives, a 501(c)(3) corporation. If you enjoy the show, please consider making a tax-deductible contribution. Thank you for supporting our work!…
 
Sara Heller talks about summer youth employment programs. This episode was first posted in March 2020. "Summer Jobs Reduce Violence Among Disadvantaged Youth" by Sara B. Heller. "Rethinking the Benefits of Youth Employment Programs: The Heterogeneous Effects of Summer Jobs" by Jonathan M.V. Davis and Sara B. Heller *** Probable Causation is part of…
 
Kerri Raissian talks about the effects of domestic violence courts. “Specialization in Criminal Courts: Decision Making, Recidivism, and Re-victimization in Domestic Violence Courts in Tennessee” by Aria Golestani, Emily Owens, and Kerri Raissian. *** Probable Causation is part of Doleac Initiatives, a 501(c)(3) corporation. If you enjoy the show, …
 
Guest host Amanda Agan talks with Jennifer Doleac about how DNA databases affect crime and recidivism. “The Effects of DNA Databases on the Deterrence and Detection of Offenders” by Anne Sofie Tegner Anker, Jennifer L. Doleac, and Rasmus Landersø. *** Probable Causation is part of Doleac Initiatives, a 501(c)(3) corporation. If you enjoy the show, …
 
Giovanni Mastrobuoni talks about how predictive policing affects crime. “Crime is Terribly Revealing: Information Technology and Police Productivity” by Giovanni Mastrobuoni. *** Probable Causation is part of Doleac Initiatives, a 501(c)(3) corporation. If you enjoy the show, please consider making a tax-deductible contribution. Thank you for suppo…
 
Gaurav Khanna talks about how incentives to engage in formal employment affect criminal behavior in Colombia. “Formal Employment and Organized Crime: Regression Discontinuity Evidence from Colombia” by Gaurav Khanna, Carlos Medina, Anant Nyshadham, and Jorge Tamayo. *** Probable Causation is part of Doleac Initiatives, a 501(c)(3) corporation. If y…
 
Morgan Williams Jr. talks about the race-specific effects of policing. "Police Force Size and Civilian Race" by Aaron Chalfin, Benjamin Hansen, Emily Weisburst, and Morgan Williams, Jr. *** Probable Causation is part of Doleac Initiatives, a 501(c)(3) corporation. If you enjoy the show, please consider making a tax-deductible contribution. Thank yo…
 
David Eil talks with Hannah Walker about her book, "Mobilized by Injustice: Criminal Justice Contact, Political Participation, and Race." *** Probable Causation is part of Doleac Initiatives, a 501(c)(3) corporation. If you enjoy the show, please consider making a tax-deductible contribution. Thank you for supporting our work!…
 
Carolina Arteaga talks about how parental incarceration affects kids' education outcomes. “Parental Incarceration and Children’s Educational Attainment” by Carolina Arteaga. *** Probable Causation is part of Doleac Initiatives, a 501(c)(3) corporation. If you enjoy the show, please consider making a tax-deductible contribution. Thank you for suppor…
 
Heyu Xiong talks about on how legalizing marijuana affects those with histories of selling marijuana illegally. “Displacement in the Criminal Labor Market: Evidence from Drug Legalizations” by Heyu Xiong. *** Probable Causation is part of Doleac Initiatives, a 501(c)(3) corporation. If you enjoy the show, please consider making a tax-deductible con…
 
David Eil talks with Gregg Caruso about his book, "Rejecting Retributivism: Free Will, Punishment, and Criminal Justice." *** Probable Causation is part of Doleac Initiatives, a 501(c)(3) corporation. If you enjoy the show, please consider making a tax-deductible contribution. Thank you for supporting our work!…
 
Katherine Eriksson talks about how access to education affected incarceration in the early 20th century. "Education and Incarceration in the Jim Crow South: Evidence from Rosenwald Schools" by Katherine Eriksson. *** Probable Causation is part of Doleac Initiatives, a 501(c)(3) corporation. If you enjoy the show, please consider making a tax-deduct…
 
Amanda Agan, Anna Harvey, and host Jennifer Doleac talk about the consequences of prosecuting defendants for nonviolent misdemeanor offenses. "Misdemeanor Prosecution" by Amanda Agan, Jennifer Doleac, and Anna Harvey. *** Probable Causation is part of Doleac Initiatives, a 501(c)(3) corporation. If you enjoy the show, please consider making a tax-d…
 
Ariel White talks about the effect of short jail spells on subsequent voting behavior. This episode was first posted in October 2019. "Misdemeanor Disenfranchisement? The Demobilizing Effects of Brief Jail Spells on Potential Voters" by Ariel White. *** Probable Causation is part of Doleac Initiatives, a 501(c)(3) corporation. If you enjoy the show…
 
Manisha Shah talks about the effects of criminalizing sex work. This episode was first posted in June 2019. “Crimes against Morality: Unintended Consequences of Criminalizing Sex Work” by Lisa Cameron, Jennifer Muz, and Manisha Shah. *** Probable Causation is part of Doleac Initiatives, a 501(c)(3) corporation. If you enjoy the show, please conside…
 
Desmond Ang talks about how police violence affects local students' academic achievement and well-being. "The Effects of Police Violence on Inner-City Students" by Desmond Ang. *** Probable Causation is part of Doleac Initiatives, a 501(c)(3) corporation. If you enjoy the show, please consider making a tax-deductible contribution. Thank you for sup…
 
Michael Makowsky talks about how increasing hourly wages, through the minimum wage and EITC, affects recidivism. "The Minimum Wage, EITC, and Criminal Recidivism" by Amanda Agan and Michael Makowsky. *** Probable Causation is part of Doleac Initiatives, a 501(c)(3) corporation. If you enjoy the show, please consider making a tax-deductible contribu…
 
Cody Tuttle talks about how banning people with criminal records from receiving SNAP benefits affects recidivism. "Snapping Back: Food Stamp Bans and Criminal Recidivism" by Cody Tuttle. *** Probable Causation is part of Doleac Initiatives, a 501(c)(3) corporation. If you enjoy the show, please consider making a tax-deductible contribution. Thank y…
 
Greg Midgette talks about the effects of 24/7 Sobriety — a program for defendants with alcohol-related offenses, based on swift-certain-fair principles. “Criminal Deterrence: Evidence from an Individual‐Level Analysis of 24/7 Sobriety” by Beau Kilmer and Greg Midgette. *** Probable Causation is part of Doleac Initiatives, a 501(c)(3) corporation. I…
 
David Eil talks with Erin Kelly about her book, "The Limits of Blame: Rethinking Punishment and Responsibility." *** Probable Causation is part of Doleac Initiatives, a 501(c)(3) corporation. If you enjoy the show, please consider making a tax-deductible contribution. Thank you for supporting our work! *** OTHER ITEMS WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: Ju…
 
Anna Harvey talks about how court-ordered affirmative action in police departments affected racial disparities in crime victimization. “Reducing Racial Disparities in Crime Victimization: Evidence from Employment Discrimination Litigation” by Anna Harvey and Taylor Mattia. *** Probable Causation is part of Doleac Initiatives, a 501(c)(3) corporatio…
 
Conrad Miller talks about how local racial composition affects punishment severity in the criminal justice system. "Racial Divisions and Criminal Justice: Evidence from Southern State Courts" by Benjamin Feigenberg and Conrad Miller. *** Probable Causation is part of Doleac Initiatives, a 501(c)(3) corporation. If you enjoy the show, please conside…
 
Arianna Ornaghi talks about how local news coverage of crime affects policing. "Who Watches the Watchmen? Local News and Police Behavior in the United States" by Nicola Mastrorocco and Arianna Ornaghi. *** Probable Causation is part of Doleac Initiatives, a 501(c)(3) corporation. If you enjoy the show, please consider making a tax-deductible contri…
 
Elizabeth Linos talks about how to recruit more and different people to become police officers. "More Than Public Service: A Field Experiment on Job Advertisements and Diversity in the Police" by Elizabeth Linos. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: "Behavioral Insights for Building the Police Force of Tomorrow" by Joanna Weill, Elizabeth Lin…
 
Stephen Billings talks about the long-term effects of early interventions for children exposed to lead. This episode was first posted in November 2019. "Life after Lead: Effects of Early Interventions for Children Exposed to Lead" by Stephen B. Billings and Kevin T. Schnepel. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: "Lead Wars: The politics of sc…
 
Amanda Agan talks about the effects of Ban the Box policies. This episode was first posted in July 2019. RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: "Discrimination and the Effects of Drug Testing on Black Employment" by Abigail Wozniak. "Deleting a Signal: Evidence from Pre-Employment Credit Checks" by Alexander W. Bartik and Scott T. Nelson "Ban the Box…
 
David Eil talks with David Skarbek about his book, "The Puzzle of Prison Order: Why Life Behind Bars Varies Around the World." *** Probable Causation is part of Doleac Initiatives, a 501(c)(3) corporation. If you enjoy the show, please consider making a tax-deductible contribution. Thank you for supporting our work!…
 
Andrea Velásquez talks about how exposure to violent crime affects risk aversion. "Impact of Violent Crime on Risk Aversion: Evidence from the Mexican Drug War" by Ryan Brown, Verónica Montalva, Duncan Thomas, and Andrea Velásquez. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: “Violence, Psychological Trauma, and Risk Attitudes: Evidence from Victims …
 
Matthew Lindquist talks about the health effects of prison. "The Health Effects of Prison" by Randi Hjalmarsson and Matthew Lindquist. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: “The Dose-Response of Time Served in Prison on Mortality: New York State, 1989-2003” by Evelyn Patterson. "The Effect of Incarceration on Mortality" by Samuel Norris, Matth…
 
Emily Leslie talks about how social distancing due to COVID-19 has affected domestic violence. "Sheltering in place and domestic violence: Evidence from calls for service during COVID-19" by Emily Leslie and Riley Wilson. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: “The Gender Wage Gap and Domestic Violence” by Anna Aizer. “Family Violence and Footb…
 
Anna Bindler talks about the labor market effects of crime victimization. "Scaring or scarring? Labour market effects of criminal victimisation" by Anna Bindler and Nadine Ketel. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: "Criminal Deterrence: A Review of the Literature" by Aaron Chalfin and Justin McCrary. "Crime and Economic Incentives" by Mirko …
 
CarlyWill Sloan talks about racial bias in police use of force. "Does Race Matter for Police Use of Force? Evidence from 911 Calls" by Mark Hoekstra and CarlyWill Sloan. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: “An Alternative Test of Racial Prejudice in Motor Vehicle Searches: Theory and Evidence” by Shamena Anwar and Hanming Fang. “Generalising…
 
Jamein Cunningham talks about the effects of providing legal services to the poor. "Changes in Family Structure and Welfare Participation Since the 1960s: The Role of Legal Services" by Andrew Goodman-Bacon and Jamein P. Cunningham. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: “Justice and Reform: The Formative Years of the OEO Legal Services Program…
 
Ellora Derenoncourt talks about how the Great Migration affected economic mobility. "Can you move to opportunity? Evidence from the Great Migration" by Ellora Derenoncourt. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: "Race and Economic Opportunity in the United States: An Intergenerational Perspective" by Raj Chetty, Nathaniel Hendren, Maggie R. Jon…
 
Erich Muehlegger talks about the effect of air pollution on crime. "Air Pollution and Criminal Activity: Microgeographic Evidence from Chicago" by Evan Herrnstadt, Anthony Heyes, Erich Muehlegger, and Soodeh Saberian. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: “Crime Is in the Air: The Contemporaneous Relationship between Air Pollution and Crime” b…
 
David Phillips talks about how emergency financial assistance for housing affects crime. "Does emergency financial assistance reduce crime?" by Caroline Palmer, David C. Phillips, and James X. Sullivan. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: "Scarcity: Why Having Too Little Means So Much" by Sendhil Mullainathan. "Evicted: Poverty and Profit in…
 
Jason Lindo talks about how violent media content affects crime. "Persistent Effects of Violent Media Content" by Jason M. Lindo, Isaac D. Swensen, and Glen R. Waddell. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: “Violent Video Games Stress People Out and Make Them More Aggressive” by Hasan Youssef, Laurent Bègue, and Brad J. Bushman. “Does Movie Vi…
 
Sarit Weisburd talks about the effect of police presence on crime. "Police Presence, Rapid Response Rates, and Crime Prevention" by Sarit Weisburd. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: “The Kansas City Preventative Patrol Experiment” by George L. Kelling, Tony Pate, Duane Dieckman, Charles E. Brown. “General Deterrent Effects of Police Patrol…
 
Jeremy West talks about racial bias in police investigations. This episode was first posted in December 2019. "Racial Bias in Police Investigations" by Jeremy West. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: "Racial Bias in Motor Vehicle Searches: Theory and Evidence" by John Knowles, Nicola Persico and Petra Todd. "An Alternative Test of Racial Pr…
 
Emily Weisburst talks about the effects of putting police officers in schools. This episode was first posted in August 2019. "Patrolling Public Schools: The Impact of Funding for School Police on Student Discipline and Long‐term Education Outcomes" by Emily K. Weisburst OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: "Whose Help is on the Way? The Impor…
 
Randi Hjalmarsson talks about how punishment severity affects juries' decisions to convict. "How Punishment Severity Affects Jury Verdicts: Evidence from Two Natural Experiments" by Anna Bindler and Randi Hjalmarsson. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: “Making the Crime Fit the Penalty: The Role of Prosecutorial Discretion under Mandatory M…
 
Brittany Street talks about how local employment shocks affect criminal behavior. "The Impact of Economic Opportunity on Criminal Behavior: Evidence from the Fracking Boom" by Brittany Street. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: “Your Friends and Neighbors: Localized Economics Development and Criminal Activity” by Matthew Freedman and Emily …
 
Patricio Dominguez talks about how the interactions of victims and offenders affect crime, using bus robberies in Chile as a case study. "How Offenders and Victims Interact: A Case-study from a Public Transportation Reform" by Patricio Domínguez. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: “Punishment and Crime: A Critique of Current Findings Concer…
 
Jillian Carr talks about how staggering the distribution of SNAP benefits affects crime. "SNAP Benefits and Crime: Evidence from Changing Disbursement Schedules" by Jillian B. Carr and Analisa Packham. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: “One More Saturday Night: Food Stamp Timing and Monthly Consumption Patterns” by Elena Castellari, Chad C…
 
Benjamin Hansen talks about how legalizing marijuana in some states affects cross-state sales of the drug. "Federalism, Partial Prohibition, and Cross-Border Sales: Evidence from Recreational Marijuana" by Benjamin Hansen, Keaton Miller, and Caroline Weber. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: “Medical Marijuana Laws, Traffic Fatalities, and …
 
Kirabo Jackson talks about the effects of single-sex education on academic outcomes, arrests, and teen motherhood. "Can Introducing Single-Sex Education into Low-Performing Schools Improve Academics, Arrests, and Teen Motherhood" by C. Kirabo Jackson. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: "Single-Sex Schools, Student Achievement, and Course Se…
 
Sara Heller talks about summer youth employment programs. "Summer Jobs Reduce Violence Among Disadvantaged Youth" by Sara B. Heller. "Rethinking the Benefits of Youth Employment Programs: The Heterogeneous Effects of Summer Jobs" by Jonathan M.V. Davis and Sara B. Heller OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: "What Works? A Meta Analysis of Rec…
 
Logan Lee talks about residential housing programs and recidivism. "Halfway Home? Residential Housing and Reincarceration" by Logan M. Lee. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: "From Locked Up to Locked Out: Access to Affordable Rental Housing and Criminal Recidivism" by Timothy Young. "Stress and Hardship After Prison" by Bruce Western, Anth…
 
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