show episodes
 
The best minds in sports gambling are here to help you become a better bettor. Thomas Viola hosts as Captain Jack Andrews, Rufus Peabody and Peter Jennings are joined by betting's finest players to talk advantages, finding value and using the Unabated tools to beat sportsbooks.
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A decade ago, Ed Feng was just a curious sports fan who wanted to win his bracket in March. He enjoyed books like Moneyball and Basketball on Paper but never put the ideas to use for winning a pool. That changed in 2008. After reading an academic paper on Google’s technology, Ed was inspired to apply his Stanford Ph.D. to the ranking of sports teams. From 2002 through 2018, his pre-tournament numbers predicted the winner of 71.2% of March Madness games (792-320). In this ten part podcast ser ...
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show series
 
Ben Brown, football analytics expert and contributor at Pinnacle sports book, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: A bet on San Francisco at Philadelphia, NFL Week 13 (2:25). Jalen Hurts as a passer (6:15). Georgia vs Alabama, SEC Championship game (14:37). Atlanta at New York Jets, making a prediction on Tim Boyle (2…
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Ed Feng of ThePowerRank.com joins Thomas Viola and Captain Jack Andrews for a discussion on building Power Rankings, the challenge of building a power rating set for leagues outside the NFL, as well as some exciting prop angles Ed has been looking at. Get a FREE 5-Day Trial of Unabated Premium when you sign up at unabated.com/pricing and use promo …
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Gina Fiore sits down with CPA Zack Zimbile to discuss the ins and outs and frequently asked questions of how to navigate doing your taxes as a recreational sports bettor. Line shopping is one of the single most important things a bettor can do to get an edge over the books. Unabated makes that simple with our odds screens across every major America…
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Thomas Viola and Captain Jack sit down with Andrew Mack, author of Statistical Sports Models in Excel, for a discussion on stock trading, sports betting, and the keys to spotting inefficiencies that can make you a profit in both. Andrew's Recs:-- Recommended Follows: --- @SinclairEuan --- @darjohn25 --- @therobotjames --- @KrisAbdelmessih -- Recomm…
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The Game. Ohio State and Michigan are undefeated. Again. This episode previews the game based on what types of models are better at predicting college football outcomes. The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analyt…
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What is home advantage for an NFL team in a division game? How does this change in an out of division game? This questions gets more difficult in college football, as out of conference games can feature teams of vastly different strength. How much of an edge does a team off a bye week have over a team that played last week? This episode gives the m…
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Kevin Cole, football analytics expert and founder of the Unexpected Points newsletter and podcast, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: Adjusted game scores and future predictions (3:45). Will Levis (10:24). How Buffalo at Cincinnati explains his metrics (13:20). Cleveland at Baltimore (20:00). Houston at Cincinnati (…
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Thomas Viola and Captain Jack dive into the Unabated Mailbag this week to answer questions from the community discord! Line shopping is one of the single most important things a bettor can do to get an edge over the books. Unabated makes that simple with our odds screens across every major American sport. Best of all, they’re free to use for all: h…
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Eddie Walls, a professional sports bettor who also works with Right Angle Sports, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: Explosive plays (4:38). Will Levis at Kentucky (7:40). Running clock changes in college football (14:00). 3 college football bets (15:45). How to find college football value in November (20:30). His N…
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Connor Allen, the sports betting manager at 4for4 and host of the Move The Line podcast, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: How his NFL handicapping process involves analytics and watching games (6:34). An NFL player receiving yards prop (16:22). A week 8 NFL side (19:58). Desmond Ridder (24:20). Cincinnati at San F…
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Matt Buchalter (aka PlusEV Analytics) joins Thomas Viola and Captain Jack Andrews to discuss his NBA season win total modeling, from his results to a deep dive into his process and how others can build their own models, and so much more. Check out Matt's article here: https://plusevanalytics.wordpress.com/2023/10/20/nba-season-wins-2023-24-the-big-…
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Gina Fiore is back, this time sitting down to talk poker, sports betting, and more with World Poker Tour player Andrew Neeme! Line shopping is one of the single most important things a bettor can do to get an edge over the books. Unabated makes that simple with our odds screens across every major American sport. Best of all, they’re free to use for…
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After 7 weeks of the season, we now have some robust data with which to evaluate college football teams. This episode looks at whether to trust success rate or yards per play more and then digs into 3 teams. This has big implications for a huge Big Ten game and the future of a conference that will not exist next season. The Football Analytics Show …
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Rob Pizzola, a professional sports bettor that uses quantitative methods to bet the NFL, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: The new data Rob and his team work with in 2023 (5:20). NFL player prop betting (9:48). New England at Las Vegas, NFL Week 6 bet (22:26). Minnesota at Chicago, NFL Week 6 bet (23:50). San Franc…
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Logic of Sports Betting co-author Ed Miller sits down with Unabated's Gina Fiore to discuss his new book, the science of sports betting, what rec bettors are doing wrong, and so much more on this week's special episode. Pre-order Ed's new book Interception: The Secrets of Modern Sports Betting here: https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0CKS8GGX4/ref=sr_1_1?c…
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Thomas Viola is joined by Unabated's own Rufus Peabody to discuss the NFL season so far, the art of data modeling, where he sees machine learning growing in sports betting, and so much more. Line shopping is one of the single most important things a bettor can do to get an edge over the books. Unabated makes that simple with our odds screens across…
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Fabian Sommer, a professional NFL bettor, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: Fabian's process for handicapping the NFL (2:17). Evaluating coordinators, Detroit OC Ben Johnson in particular (9:08). A bet on Houston at Atlanta, NFL Week 5 (15:45). If and when to get off your preseason prior (26:37). Cincinnati Bengals…
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As an analytics person, you know better than to judge based on a small sample size. But do you know why this is so difficult? This episode digs into the cognitive science behind your tenuous relationship with randomness. I hope it feels like a short audiobook, but not boring. The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devote…
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Thomas Viola and Captain Jack sit down with DL Trading co-founder and head of trading Brandon Moran, once known in the gambling world as Machiavelli, for a discussion on his career, the rise of in-game betting, the challenges of betting and booking in-game, and so much more. Line shopping is one of the single most important things a bettor can do t…
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Thomas Viola and Peter Jennings are joined by One Week Season's Jordan Tohline to discuss his thoughts on the NFL after 2 weeks, his tips on beating the DFS landscape, wax philosophical on life, and so much more! Line shopping is one of the single most important things a bettor can do to get an edge over the books. Unabated makes that simple with o…
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Tanner Buzick, the Director of Analytics at Dr. Bob Sports, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: His quantitative approach to betting the NFL (6:24). Carolina at Seattle (13:22). Nick Chubb, Tennessee at Cleveland (21:40). A surprise prediction and bet for the 2023 NFL season (26:20). Advice for breaking into the bett…
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Mike Craig, a professional sports bettor who also works with Right Angle Sports, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: How to get into sports betting in 2023 (5:35). Handicapping college football (8:02). FBS vs FCS games and whether they matter in handicapping (14:42). A college football bet (20:18). Colorado (23:02). …
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Thomas Viola and Captain Jack sit down with Prophet Exchange Co-Founder Jake Benzaquen to discuss NFL Week 1, betting on exchanges, the marketplace of sports betting, and more! Line shopping is one of the single most important things a bettor can do to get an edge over the books. Unabated makes that simple with our odds screens across every major A…
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Before the 2022 season, Dan Hanzus of NFL.com had Denver 8th in his power rankings. The Broncos finished the season 5-12. I used his opinion in my best NFL predictions last year. Even in hindsight, I don't regret it. Let me explain in this episode. The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics fo…
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Thomas Viola and Captain Jack are joined by sports betting analyst Jeff Parles to break down NFL Week 1, discuss strategies for playing NFL win totals in season, in-game betting, and so much more Line shopping is one of the single most important things a bettor can do to get an edge over the books. Unabated makes that simple with our odds screens a…
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How to bet the Buffalo Bills in 2023, courtesy of the brilliant software tools at Unabated. The concept of a no hold market plays a critical role in the analysis. The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, si…
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Adam Chernoff of Right Angle Sports joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: How the NFL preseason impacts his analysis (5:22). Houston Texans (9:00). Las Vegas Raiders (12:15). The Right Angle Sports NFL team (15:05). NFL props (19:17). Week 1 teaser bet (24:55). Atlanta Falcons and total football (28:30). Arizona Cardin…
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Thomas Viola and Jason Weingarten are joined by Sean Patrick Griffin, author of "Gaming the Game" to review and discuss their thoughts on legendary sports bettor Billy Walters's new autobiography: Gambler. Line shopping is one of the single most important things a bettor can do to get an edge over the books. Unabated makes that simple with our odds…
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Dr. Eric Eager, Vice President at Sumer Sports and football analytics expert, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: Offensive line as a weak link system (5:00). Green Bay Packers (12:04). NFL preseason models (13:53). Buffalo Bills and run pass option (19:22). Minnesota Vikings (24:50). Philadelphia Eagles (29:57). Det…
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Ohio State starts the season at #3 in the preseason AP poll. That might seem like a stretch after a 45-23 beat down to Michigan. Let's explore. The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free …
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It is easy for Michigan fans to dream this season. This episode look at their critical edge over Georgia, Alabama and Ohio State and whether it justifies their #2 rank in the preseason AP poll. The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated…
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Sporttrade CEO Alex Kane joins Tom and Jack on the pod this week to discuss the exchange's launch in Colorado, critique US gambling regulations, prognosticate on the future of betting in the US, and talk about what is coming to Sporttrade this football season. Line shopping is one of the single most important things a bettor can do to get an edge o…
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