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The Dividend Cafe is your portal for market perspective that is virtually conflict-free, rooted in deep philosophical commitments about how capital should be managed, and understandable for all sorts of investors. Host David L. Bahnsen is a frequent guest on CNBC, Bloomberg, and Fox Business. He is the author of the books, Crisis of Responsibility: Our Cultural Addiction to Blame and How You Can Cure It (Post Hill Press) and The Case for Dividend Growth: Investing in a Post-Crisis World (Pos ...
 
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I kind of like this week's Dividend Cafe. We are going to do a very quick look into how the Fed fuels Japanification, but more specifically, how low-interest rates hurt growth. It is one thing (and a more severe one at that) that monetary policymakers generally view artificially low rates as a really good thing to fuel economic growth, but at this …
 
One of the hardest things about being an economic commentator in this day and age is that economic commentary requires nuance, and this day and age requires narratives. There is to be a single narrative about X, and any variation around, above, beneath, or of the exact X narrative is heretical or at least unappreciated. It is a tough way for societ…
 
David is joined this week by John Tamny, an editor at RealClearMarkets.com and a highly regarded economic writer and speaker. The two of them tackle some of their economic vocabulary challenges which interfere with a cogent understanding of “inflation,” and seek to put the focus on the lowest hanging fruit for facilitating economic activity. You wi…
 
I really did mean to write this entire piece last week but simply ran out of time and space. I will give you a recap today of last week’s takeaways but then make sure this week’s wraps a bow around our updated point of view on inflation. This is not merely a philosophical exercise. There is an abundance of empirical support provided for my position…
 
David is joined today by Aswath Damodaran, the highly renowned professor at New York University’s Stern School of Business, expert in the field of corporate finance and investment valuation, and most pertinent to us, cogent critic of all things ESG. David and the professor look at all aspects of the ESG movement and find it not just lacking, pharis…
 
It has been a year and a half since I first took up the inflation/deflation debate as a matter of contemporary debate (a part 1 and a part 2). As much as I wished then (and now) that the great economic fight we would have for the next thirty years was inflation, I believed then (and now) that the great economic fight we will have for the next thirt…
 
David is joined this week by Sachin Khajuria, author of the brand new book, 'Two and Twenty,' and long-time partner at private equity behemoth, Apollo Group. They discuss the state of the private-equity industry, the true differentiating factors of the cultures at the best firms, and ultimately, what this all means for the economy. Private equity a…
 
David is joined this week by Michael Matheson Miller of the Acton Institute, and the two devote considerable time to the poverty problem, and to the concerns many have about the direction of the culture. They also focus on a general understanding of multi-generational expectations and why, at the foundation of it all, our common ground must be theo…
 
The fundamental tension in the economy today, and less directly so, in markets themselves, is really simple: Is a recession coming that slows down price inflation? That question is simple to identify as the economic tension point of the moment, but it is not simple to answer. One reason for this complexity is that some of the premises brought to th…
 
Happy Independence Day weekend to you and yours. Or for those without much historical interest, Happy Fourth of July. Today’s Dividend Cafe is not going to dive into the state of the market, though I can promise you that Tuesday’s DC Today will have plenty to say about the first half of 2022 and our expectations for the second half. But for today, …
 
David is joined this week by his Radio Free California co-host, Will Swaim. Fresh off of a week-long trip to Grand Rapids, Michigan for the annual Acton Institute’s university symposium, David speaks to Will about his path from Marxism to Markets, and where good intentions and good results can both find a home in a properly ordered vision of libert…
 
I’ll be very honest with you – I prefer single-topic Dividend Café issues. I wrote a multi-topic weekly commentary for many years before moving to a “mostly” single-topic orientation, and I have never loved writing Dividend Café more. I feel that the weekly information quality and value is higher with a singular focus each week, and I think the “va…
 
David is joined today by Dr. Mark Skousen, Presidential Fellow of Economics at Chapman University, best-selling author, founder of the Freedom Fest, and a leading public intellectual in the fight for free enterprise. David and Mark cover a wide gamut of economic topics, economic history, and discuss which schools of thought they most enjoy playing …
 
Once again we find ourselves in the midst of a tumultuous week in the markets, and yet with bigger fish to fry in the Dividend Cafe? What could be bigger than a 1,400 point drop in the market on the week, and a 3,000 point drop in the last two weeks (note: I am hitting “send” on this before the market opens on Friday, and pre-market action Friday d…
 
David is joined once again by Oren Cass of American Compass, this time to discuss the state of American financial markets. The two have a congenial conversation about private equity and venture capital, what is going wrong with the two, and what the solutions may be. There is more disagreement than agreement, but there is a mutual and sincere effor…
 
I purposely wrote this week’s Dividend Cafe before the CPI number posted this morning at 8:30 am ET. Lots of traders were getting in front of this late Thursday, and a market that had rallied up +2,000 points in the last two weeks was down -1,000 points in the last five days and is now down a lot as markets open Friday. We are in a period of short-…
 
David is joined this week by Lyman Stone, renowned expert in demographics from the American Enterprise Institute and other significant think tanks and organizations. Lyman and David dive deep this week into mortality, migration, and fertility, and look to better understand the implications for economic growth and human flourishing that various tren…
 
I am doing three things in the Dividend Cafe today that I pretty much never do. For one thing, I am blatantly ripping someone off (you’ll see; it’s not as bad as it sounds). Secondly, I am getting pretty biographical (though I guess I do that every once in a while; last week being the most recent example). And then finally, I am really focusing on …
 
David is once again joined by Father Robert Sirico, co-founder of the Acton Institute and a leading public intellectual in the cause of a free and virtuous society. Fresh off the publication of Father's brand new book, 'Economics and the Parables,' David and he dive deep into the Biblical teachings of economics, the state of affairs on the right, a…
 
I really do not know how today’s Dividend Cafe is going to be received. I obviously believe in every word of what I have typed or I wouldn’t have typed them, yet I have found two things to be the case in my efforts at thought leadership in matters of markets and economics: (1) People sometimes do not like it when I veer off of a stock market focus,…
 
And you’re not going to like it! David is joined once again by Louis Gave of Gavekal Research, and the only things they talk about this week are the bond market, the stock market, global wars, foreign currency, crypto, and pets. You won’t want to miss a word of Louie’s brilliant musings!By David L. Bahnsen, Louis Gave
 
I have done something really fun with today’s Dividend Cafe – at least fun for me. I have taken the most common questions I receive these days from clients, in emails, in meetings, in interviews, etc., and compiled a set of answers that walk through the big issues of today. I think you will find it valuable. I doubt I cover everything on your mind …
 
I had fun writing today’s Dividend Cafe and I think you may very well have fun hearing (and reading) it. I also think some of you may be mad at me for it. I hope I am wrong. I believe there are a multitude of messages in the Dividend Cafe this week that are vital for investors in this current era, and the one that is to come. I also feel these mess…
 
Market volatility is on a roll, with the VIX now double the level it started the year at. This week saw the biggest up day we have had all year, followed the very next day by the biggest down day of the year. A lot is happening, and we can and will unpack it in today’s Dividend Cafe, but we will not leave it there. The takeaway today will be what t…
 
Recession. The dreaded word, “recession.” For those who have lost their job in one, it can feel like a depression. For those who kept their own job in one but saw their portfolios drop, or saw neighbors or loved ones lose their jobs, or experienced a decline in income or business revenue, it may not have had the existential punch that it did for ot…
 
If there is one thing that animates me it is the application of real-life economics to investing. I have always been obsessed with economics – both theory and application – but it is in more recent years that I have really found it a calling to synthesize the foundational truths of economics to financial markets. And truth be told, that calling tra…
 
In this market-shortened week I thought a shorter Dividend Cafe may be appropriate, especially as we prepare for a long weekend and the Easter holiday. More on that below … And not only do I think I controlled the length of this week’s Dividend Cafe (within reason), I also took advantage of the week to dive into a topic that is almost entirely avoi…
 
From the seat of a person who dispenses financial advice for a living, one could be forgiven for believing there must have been a time in the recent past that was quite idyllic. Why? The constant chorus of those concerned about “new instability” or “these difficult times” or “all this uncertainty” all implies one thing: That there must have been a …
 
I love the topic of this week’s Dividend Cafe. I believe one of the most powerful people in global finance gave me the chance to address a topic today that desperately needs to be addressed. And through this topic we have profound takeaways to inform our understanding of economics, and to apply such understanding to the emphases we put in our portf…
 
We all know that the Russian invasion of Ukraine has been the biggest story of 2022 thus far, not just for markets but for the entire news cycle. Ten minutes do not go by on the news without hearing the word “Russia” or “Ukraine” – for good reason (there is a war going on, you know). And there are other countries that do not exactly hide in the bac…
 
I hope you will find this to be a special Dividend Cafe. No, this week’s Dividend Cafe doesn’t dare to bring the vast military sophistication of people who tweet all day long to you, but maybe we do one better. We don’t talk about Russia/Ukraine at all. Actually there is some true connectivity between much of what I discuss today and how it interac…
 
The fog of war continues in Ukraine with the entire world watching. The path to some immediate resolution has mostly closed, and expectations are for a complicated and extended process. Prayers are for minimal bloodshed and certainly for a limited scope to where the conflict goes. But few analysts are able to formulate a scenario where this ends we…
 
I have pretty much written each Friday’s Dividend Cafe on the Friday morning of the day you receive it every single week for over a year now. If there is an exception to that over the last 12+ months I do not remember it. I used to write the Dividend Cafe in bits and pieces throughout the week and then “pull it all together” on Friday mornings, but…
 
There was plenty of talk about Russia/Ukraine in DC Today this week as well in the unreliable news cycle, and there really isn’t any “new news” to report. I am not sure we will be talking about Russia/Ukraine in six months, but I am very sure we will be talking about inflation, the Fed, and interest rates in six months. I want to do my best to make…
 
Long-time readers know that I have strong opinions about the Fed, about monetary policy, about its relevance to economic conditions, and of course about its implications for investment decision-making. Today we have enough misinformation out there about the Fed that it may be a chance to actually use that word appropriately. And this misinformation…
 
We are living in interesting times for equity investors, and I have no reason to believe those times will get any less interesting any time soon. But one thing I would love for clients of The Bahnsen Group, and to a lesser extent, all readers of the Dividend Cafe is for there to be an understanding of what equity investors are really after. We all …
 
I understand it may seem odd to devote a Dividend Cafe to the particular subject of the Energy sector in a week of surreal market volatility and media obsession over the Fed. But in fairness, I write about the Fed almost every week, plus four days a week in The DC Today, and the entire subject of monetary theory underlies all that we do in capital …
 
I telegraphed last week a special Dividend Cafe on energy today, and I reiterated that plan several times in DC Today this last week. But as I began pulling it all together in my hotel room here in Washington D.C. at 4:00 this morning, it occurred to me that we appear to be living through a market doing much of what I have been talking about for a …
 
2022 is just two weeks underway, other people are joining me in no longer saying Happy New Year, the NFL playoffs are finally starting (a week later than ever before), and the college football champion has been declared. Coming into the new year was the time to forecast what we expected for the year – but now, we are actually in it. And speaking of…
 
Markets followed up their monstrous week by dropping a bit to start this week, then rallying back to even mid-week, to sit somewhere between flat on the week and down ~100 points or so as I prepare to go to press. The Nasdaq, though, didn’t fare so well on the week, dropping -600 points (-4%) as of press time and warranting a distinction in this we…
 
As I type on Friday morning well before the market will open for the day, the Dow is up ~1,200 points on the week, basically right back to where it was the day before the Omicron news and market sell-off, and the futures are pointing upwards for today as well (of course, anything can happen on that front). A week ago, I devoted the Dividend Cafe to…
 
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